Les livres numériques peuvent être téléchargés depuis l'ebookstore Numilog ou directement depuis une tablette ou smartphone. On distinguera le Rolling Walk Forward Testing de l Anchored Walk Forward Testing, le premier faisant varier la date de départ du sous segment tandis que le deuxième le laisse invariant. Copyright Conditions d'utilisation et informations réglementaires Traitement des données personnelles de en es fr it nl.
It could be a trend trader or swing trader. Can you live through wild swings in the market? You can determine the long term trend simply by increasing your trading chart times such as daily — weekly long-term trend. Four hour would be daily chart. Moving averages are generally used as an objective measure of trend. An up sloping trend line indicates an uptrend and the down sloping line is a down trend. We can also use the break of the moving average to determine trend.
We are introducing the very popular technical analysis tool called a trend line. Trend line breaks are a very common trading strategy and we are going to utilize the trend line break as a way of showing a change of character in the market. When a trend line breaks, traders look to position on the break or a retrace to test the backside of the trend line. We want to trade a break only if the trend line break happens in the same area as a break of the 34 EMA.
Is the 34 EMA crossed or not? Not much guesswork involved. The following is a daily chart of a Forex pair showing two buy setups. Shorts are the exact opposite. Stops and targets have not been plotted. The first trade setup is 1. A down sloping trend should not connect a lower peak if the low of that peak has not broken lower than the previous mechanical trend line drawing tip!
Price does break above the trend line but takes 3 more candlesticks to break above the 34 EMA. This trade did not run very far and I will show later that you would have still made a profit on it. I will show two methods to take your profit targets. Our second trade is 2. The last green circle is simply highlighting that the trend line still interacted with price weeks after it was drawn. A huge candlestick takes out both the moving average and the trend line as indicated by the arrow.
The stop loss is straight forward. You enter at the close of the valid candlestick the ones with the arrows and place your stop below the low of it.
Your stop loss will vary depending on the size of the candlestick that validates the setup. If the candlestick is much smaller than the candlesticks before it, you may opt to use a 2 or 3 bar stop instead of below the valid candlestick. This chart is showing where you would place your stop. If your stop lies just above or below for shorts a consolidation of price, you may decide to protect the stop below the cluster. That will increase your stop size and reduce your position size so be warned.
The chart also shows structural resistance price targets other wise known as support and resistance. Those will depend on the overall trend of the market and how aggressive you want to be at these price points. This next chart shows a different way to take profits — Fibonacci extension levels As shown by the arrows, you draw a normal Fibonacci retracement level but you also have extension levels activated.
I use the following:. You want to use obvious swings to draw your Fib and even is you used the full swing down on the first trade, you would still monitor price action at resistance. Our first trade eventually rejects slightly below the 1. Strength levels show the points where the price chart can stop or reverse. Let us start our discussion with the levels of support and resistance.
The support and resistance levels show historical levels, local minimums and maximums, trend and channel lines on the price chart. If the price has reached any such level it signalizes the price can stop or reverse here. There are two trading methods - breakout and reversal strategies. According to this strategy you open your deals when the price chart has broken out a current level and continued its movement in the same direction.
A deal should be opened after a candlestick body has broken out a support or resistance level and a new candlestick moves in the same direction. A main aspect of this strategy is that we open a deal after the price chart has reversed. If a candlestick has reached the level and failed to be closed outside it we should start trading. A candlestick can touch the level with its shade or body. If a candlestick is closed inside a strength level and its shade touches it the price will not be able to pass it.
A signal confirmation will be a new candlestick in a reversal direction. As you see breakouts and reversals at the support or resistance levels give good signals for trading.
These signals can be strengthened or weakened by signals of the candlestick analysis and together they give us more chances to open a successful deal. Computer analysis means the use of indicators to find an entry point. At present they use three indicators for analysis:. We will discuss the moving average trading signals. The price chart and moving average line give us two types of trading signals: To receive these signals we need to install the moving average indicator with a long period.
It is necessary to understand you should choose an individual period for each tool. The Bollinger bands are easy in use and can replace the trend channels as the indicator shows the most often range of price movement. To work with the Bollinger bands you can use the signals when the price breaks out the bands — after a sharp breakout of the usual price range the price tends to return back to a central band.
The other indicator is an Alligator. It is useful as shows a beginning of the trend movement. You cannot use it as a basic indicator as it does not give the trading signals but you can use its lines as the levels of support and resistance.
In general the indicators help to trade and allow analyzing a situation and taking a decision quickly. The indicators are good as a computer makes all calculations and gives ready trading signals. The only problem in using indicators is a necessity to set the indicator individually for each trading tool.
We all know that the market often reacts on the news publication and if the news is strong we can expect a strong price movement. The news trading strategy is risk enough but thanks to it you can make a good profit for a couple of minutes. But you can lose your assets for these few minutes if trading the news.
It about the online trading — here everything is easier and less risky. Trade online our risks are limited by an amount of the deal and it is very good if our forecast has not been proved. But except the fixed losses we have the fixed profit. This paragraph is very important for all traders who want to achieve stability in getting a profit. The best money management strategy is tracking your losses.
At first you should define the loss limit level where you should stop and review the effectiveness of your current trading strategy. We have discussed only the basic strategies of hundreds available trading strategies.
Having studied and practiced them you can build a good foundation for your future successful trading strategy. You need to choose two-three tools for analysis and start earning. On our website you can always find detailed information about any trading method, explanations and comments. Gain experience earning with us! We will study three basic directions of the technical analysis: We will also discuss trading the news and asset management strategies.
Technical Analysis Strategies Candlestick Analysis This type of analysis studies the candlestick chart patterns. Squat Candlestick Strategy The squat candlesticks often signalize about a tendency reverse. Tweezers Candlestick Strategy The other strong reversal signal is a tweezers candlestick pattern.